HMA Insights: Your source for healthcare news, ideas and analysis.
HMA Insights – including our new podcast – puts the vast depth of HMA’s expertise at your fingertips, helping you stay informed about the latest healthcare trends and topics. Below, you can easily search based on your topic of interest to find useful information from our podcast, blogs, webinars, case studies, reports and more.
Jennifer Bridgeforth, associate principal at Health Management Associates, dives into the complexities of fraud, waste, and abuse in healthcare, examining the blurred lines between inefficient processes and intentional misconduct. The conversation explores how value-based care, provider education, and technology could pave the way for more efficient and patient-centered healthcare. Listen to discover insights on navigating these challenges in a shifting healthcare landscape.
We are pleased to announce that Kelsey Stevens, principal at Wakely Consulting Group, an HMA Company, has been named the new chief executive officer (CEO) of Wakely. Kelsey succeeds Mary Hegemann, who recently was promoted to executive vice president at HMA.
A respected and trusted leader, Kelsey has been an integral part of Wakely since 2012, fostering a culture of collaboration, innovation, and excellence. As a champion for both internal teams and client solutions, she has guided Wakely through complex challenges and significant growth. Her leadership combines a deep understanding of healthcare markets with technical expertise and strategic vision, ensuring the continued delivery of exceptional results for clients.
“I’m deeply honored to take on this role and excited for the future of Wakely. Our work has always been about empowering clients with innovative, data-driven solutions, and with the support of our HMA family, we’re uniquely positioned to make an even greater impact,” Kelsey said. “I look forward to collaborating with our incredible team as we navigate the challenges and opportunities of an evolving healthcare landscape.”
With over 18 years of experience in the healthcare field, Kelsey brings expertise in pricing, and rate development, regulatory filings, product design, and financial forecasting. She has worked extensively with health plans, providers, and government agencies across both commercial and government programs, including supporting several accountable care organizations participating in CMS and CMMI programs. She is a Fellow of the Society of Actuaries and a Member of the American Academy of Actuaries.
Kelsey will continue to work out of the company’s Tampa Bay, Fla., office.
The release of the CY 2026 Advance Notice—along with the complementary CMS policy and technical proposed rule released in November 2024—represent the last major Medicare regulations of the Biden Administration, and these annual payment and policy updates will be finalized under the incoming Trump Administration. As a result, the proposed MA and Part D payment policies could be modified before finalization in April 2025.
Comments on the Advance Notice are due by February 10, 2025, leaving a tight timeline for MA plans and other stakeholders to provide formal feedback and written comments to CMS. Following are brief summaries of the major proposals in the Advance Notice and key considerations for stakeholders as they analyze the proposals.
Payment Impact on Medicare Advantage Organizations
In the Advance Notice, CMS projects that federal payments to MA plans will increase by 4.33 percent from 2025 to 2026—which represents a $21 billion increase in expected payments to MA plans next year. CMS estimates that federal payments to MA plans in 2026 will total $590.9 billion.
The proposed increase in payments accounts for several factors, including growth rates in underlying costs, changes to MA Star Ratings, continued implementation of the new risk adjustment model, and MA risk score trends. The estimated growth rate considers demographic changes in MA enrollment, including projected increases in the number of enrollees.
The Advance Notice estimates represent the average increase in payments to MA plans and actual payments will vary from plan to plan. Below, Table 1 provides estimates of the impact of proposed policy changes on net MA plan payments.
MA Risk Adjustment Changes
CMS intends to complete the three-year phase-in of the MA risk adjustment model that was first published in the CY 2024 Rate Announcement. Specifically, CMS proposes to calculate 100 percent of the risk scores using the new MA risk adjustment model, referred to as the 2024 hierarchical condition categories (CMS-HCC) framework. CMS maintains that the changes to the methodology for calculating risk have improved the predictive accuracy of the model while ensuring risk-adjusted payments to MA plans are accurate.
In addition, CMS has been working to calibrate the risk adjustment model based on MA encounter data, and CMS proposes to begin phasing in an encounter-based MA risk adjustment model as soon as CY 2027.
CMS also proposes to apply the statutory minimum MA coding pattern difference adjustment factor of 5.90 percent for CY 2026.
Technical Adjustment to Cost Calculations Related to Medical Education Costs
Similar to changes in the MA risk adjustment model, CMS plans to complete the three-year phase-in of technical adjustments to the per capita cost calculations related to indirect and direct medical education costs associated with services delivered to MA beneficiaries. This technical adjustment—finalized in the CY 2024 Rate Announcement—has reduced growth rates for MA plans because of the removal of MA-related medical education costs from the benchmarks.
MA Star Ratings
CMS reiterates its continued focus on moving toward a “Universal Foundation” of measures with the goal of creating metrics that center on clinical care, patient outcomes, and improved patient experiences and are aligned across CMS programs. In addition, CMS is soliciting initial feedback on both substantive measure specification updates as well as comments on new measure concepts. CMS also is seeking stakeholder feedback on modifications to the Health Equity Index, including adding social risk factors and geography (urban or rural) to the reward factor. Any specific changes to MA Star Ratings measures, including modifications to the Health Equity Index, would occur through the formal rulemaking process.
Medicare Part D Provisions
The CY 2026 Advance Notice and the CY 2026 Draft Part D Redesign Program Instructions include several payment and benefit updates as required in the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) of 2022. The CY 2026 updates include:
The CY 2026 annual out-of-pocket cost threshold for Part D covered drugs is $2,100, which is the original out-of-pocket cap of $2,000 adjusted for the annual percentage increase in average expenditures for Part D covered drugs
Establishment of the selected drug subsidy program
Changes to the liability of enrollees, plan sponsors, drug manufacturers, and CMS in the standard Part D benefit design, specifically to account for the start of the Medicare Drug Price Negotiation Program in 2026
Guidance on the successor regulation exception to the IRA’s formulary inclusion requirement for selected drugs under the Medicare Drug Price Negotiation Program
Other previously implemented IRA reforms will continue in CY 2026, including no cost sharing for Medicare beneficiaries for Part D covered drugs in the catastrophic phase, which begins after the annual out-of-pocket threshold of $2,100 is reached; a $35 monthly cap on enrollee cost sharing for insulin; no cost sharing for adult vaccines recommended by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s (CDC’s) Advisory Commission on Immunization Practices and covered under Part D; and the requirement for Part D plans to offer the Medicare Prescription Payment Plan to beneficiaries.
What to Expect
The CY 2026 Advance Notice includes important technical, programmatic changes and payment updates for MA and Part D plans, which will be finalized when CMS publishes the final CY 2026 Rate Announcement on or before April 7, 2025. MA plans and other stakeholders have a rigid timeframe to provide formal input and written comments to CMS before the February 10 deadline.
Like the policy and technical changes included in the MA proposed rule, the CMS Advance Notice payment updates will be finalized under the incoming Trump Administration. MA plans and other stakeholder can anticipate that the new leadership at the US Department of Health and Human Services and CMS will closely examine and take a fresh look at the proposed payment and policy changes. Though the current CMS leadership maintains that payment updates included in the Advance Notice are sufficient to support stability in MA premiums and benefits, proposed payment policies can be modified or delayed as the new leadership takes shape.
For example, officials in the Trump Administration could seek to delay the phase in of the risk adjustment changes as well as the technical adjustment regarding medical education costs, which CMS estimates would result in an additional $10.4 billion in payments to MA plans.
Connect With Us
Medicare experts at Health Management Associates, will continue to assess and analyze the policy and political landscape, which will determine the final policies included in the CY 2026 Rate Announcement. HMA experts have the depth of knowledge, experience, and subject matter expertise to assist organizations that engage in the rulemaking process and to support implementation of final policies, including policy development, tailored analysis, and modeling capabilities.
For details about the CY 2026 MA Advance Notice and its impact on MA and Part D plans, providers, and beneficiaries, contact our featured experts below.
Informed by research and exploration of the on some of the most complex challenges facing children in a post-pandemic world, experts from L.A. Care Health Plan, the nation’s largest publicly operated plan, and Children’s Hospital Los Angeles (CHLA), one of the nation’s leading pediatric hospitals, unveiled their first-ever Los Angeles County State of Children’s Health report. The report, made up of four policy briefs, identified core issues impacting kids and teens and key recommendations to proactively address them.
The report originated from roundtables held in November of 2023 that convened expert stakeholders resulting in four distinct policy briefs and action plans. Recommendation highlights include establishing new school-based programs to improve mental health services within educational settings, launching an effort to dispel vaccine myths to improve children’s health, and addressing resource challenges that children and youth with complex chronic conditions and in social welfare system experience in Los Angeles County and beyond.
Health Management Associates experts in child welfare and behavioral health worked with the team of outside children’s health experts to prepare these four policy briefs with actionable solutions:
Vaccine Catch-Up and Misinformation: How can we improve access to and the provision of immunizations to promote children’s health?
Children and Families’ Resiliency: How can we improve the systems of care to improve well-being and address children’s mental health needs?
Supporting Children and Youth Involved in the Child Welfare System : How can we improve the quality, appropriateness of supports, and ease of access to care to address the unique needs of children involved in the child welfare system?
Children and Youth with Complex Medical Needs Transition to Adulthood: How can we facilitate the continuation of critical support as children with complex medical needs age out of care eligibility?
You can access the comprehensive reports and video series here.
Ohio Medicaid is no stranger to change. Over the last several years, there have been several broad policy changes, from a new managed care system, to new programs like OhioRISE, to an expansion of MyCare Ohio. And, during this time, there have been complicating factors like the covid-19 public health emergency and the resultant impact of inflation on the basic delivery of services and care. Now, as the Trump administration comes in for the second time, questions arise as to what to expect in Medicaid policy and how it may impact Ohio.
While it’s often overlooked, federal rule making has a significant impact on the operations of states. Just in the last couple of years, the Biden Administration has implemented policies including:
The Access rule, such as the 80/20 policy, implementation timelines, and other questions regarding Home and Community Based Services waivers that states and certain stakeholders elevate to the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS).
The Managed Care rule, which addresses Medicaid managed care access, financing, and quality, including strengthening standards for timely access to care and states’ monitoring and enforcement efforts.
These rules are set to be implemented over several years. The Trump Administration could delay implementation of certain provisions, which would eliminate regulations while rolling back enrollee protections, payment transparency, and improved access. Alternatively, the Trump Administration could adjust their enforcement strategy or issue new regulations that would undo or augment these final regulations.
Beyond regulation, there is still the potential for fundamental policy change to the program’s financing. Notably, the concept of block grants or per-capita caps has reemerged as a potential option, where states would no longer receive federal “match”, but rather a fixed amount based on historical averages. In fact, Energy and Commerce Chair Brett Guthrie has already identified per capita caps as an area of active conversation in the House Republican Caucus.
Making a fundamental, national change in the financing arrangement of Medicaid would require an act of Congress. Many think this movement away from a traditional reimbursement structure was one of the main reasons for the failure to repeal the Affordable Care Act during the first Trump administration. Notably, as Ohio is a “recipient” state, meaning it receives more in federal taxes than it provides for the Medicaid program, this could significantly impact the long-term financial stability in future state budgets. Often, this challenge is why block granting is usually associated with additional state powers around curbing enrollment, services and coverage, so states may more easily cut the program to accommodate tighter financing.
Depending on how all of these changes would unfold, Medicaid programs, including Ohio’s may have to adopt their systems to accommodate. However, the Trump administration may also pursue greater flexibility for states to design and innovate in Medicaid in ways that are consistent with their goals. This could include greater flexibility to limit covered services, raise cost-sharing requirements, limit enrollment or require more frequent determination of eligibility. There may also be programmatic refocusing away from initiatives which center health equity and expanded coverage, including alternatives to “Medicaid expansion”, as well as a fundamental reorientation of the use of waivers.
Speaking of waivers, there is likely going to be a dramatic change in the way waivers are applied and executed. This can include, but is not limited to, waivers that test new policies the prioritize cost-cutting measures over access and coverage, including waivers which change how the Medicaid expansion group is managed in states. Included in this are “Work Requirement” waivers, something Ohio is currently in the process of submitting. While examples from other states have shown that such waivers are often costly to operate and ultimately have the impact of decreasing coverage, the Trump administration and many policymakers see these requirements as a way to ensure labor force participation. Though there is evidence to suggest coverage, alone, increases economic mobility,
As Ohio providers, plans and policymakers gear up for the next state budget, the landscape of Medicaid policy will be something to pay attention to. While Medicaid represents nearly 48% of the total state budget, half of that is from the federal government. What’s more, nearly 1 in 3 Ohioans rely on the program, disproportionately in rural communities, and it supports Ohio’s second largest industry in healthcare. Make sure you stay on top of the latest updates to the program in Ohio and beyond and sign up for HMAs Weekly Roundup.
Ohio Health Policy Snapshots
Sign up for Ohio Health Policy Snapshots delivered right to your inbox
The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) on January 6, 2025, announced that 15 states have been selected to participate in the agency’s new Transforming Maternal Health (TMaH) Model. They are: Alabama, Arkansas, California, the District of Columbia, Illinois, Kansas, Louisiana, Maine, Minnesota, Mississippi, New Jersey, Oklahoma, South Carolina, West Virginia, and Wisconsin. This week, our In Focus section reviews this initiative and the need for improved maternal healthcare for Medicaid and Children’s Health Insurance Plan (CHIP) enrollees.
Adverse Maternal Health Outcomes Among Medicaid and CHIP Enrollees
Medicaid and CHIP programs cover a large portion of all births in the United States. According to a CMS data brief published in December 2024, Prematurity and Severe Maternal Morbidity Among Medicaid- and CHIP-covered Live Births in 2021, the public health programs covered 41 percent of all births that year. In some states, Medicaid and CHIP-covered healthcare accounted for up to 67 percent of births.
The data brief examines the trends of premature births and severe maternal morbidity (SMM) events—including blood transfusion, acute respiratory distress syndrome, sepsis, acute renal failure, ventilation, and other conditions—in Medicaid and CHIP-covered births for people ages 15 to 49 between 2019 and 2021. During this period, the percentage of preterm live births increased from 10.5 percent to 10.8 percent, and SMM rates increased from 209.6 per 10,000 live births to 252.7 per 10,000 live births.
Some demographic groups had higher rates of preterm births and SMM than others. Enrollees who were Medicaid-eligible because of disability had more than 1.5 times the percentage of preterm births, and nearly double the rate of SMM than enrollees in other eligibility categories. In addition, non-Hispanic Black enrollees and non-Hispanic Native American enrollees had the highest rates of preterm births and SMM compared with all other racial and ethnic groups.
With the increasing adverse maternal health outcomes facing Medicaid and CHIP enrollees, as well as people with private insurance, state leaders and their partners are looking toward different initiatives to help improve outcomes. As governors prepare for their 2025 State of the State Addresses, several are expected to identify maternal health as a key priority. Their priorities will initiate and build on policy changes and other actions in development since 2022, such as expanding Medicaid coverage to 12 months postpartum, collecting and publishing actionable data on pregnancy-associated and pregnancy-related mortality and causes, and directing funding to expand targeted high-quality care provided by doulas and community health workers (CHWs), for example.
TMaH Model
The TMaH Model, which CMS introduced in December 2023, is designed to improve maternal healthcare, improve health outcomes for Medicaid and CHIP-covered births, and lower healthcare expenditures. The model centers on three main pillars described in Table 1.
Notably, the model is intended to facilitate design and implementation of a value-based alternative payment model for maternity care services. It also includes a health equity strategy to address disparities among racial and ethnic minorities, as well as people who live in rural and underserved areas.
The 10-year TMaH Model has an initial three-year implementation period that began January 1, 2025. During that time, states will receive targeted technical assistance to develop and implement elements of the model while achieving pre-implementation milestones. Moreover, participating states will receive up to $17 million in cooperative agreement funding to support planning and implementation over 10 years.
Obstetrical Quality Measures and Standards
To further support the goals of the TMaH Model, CMS has finalized new national health and safety standards, known as conditions of participation (CoPs), for hospitals and critical access hospitals that offer obstetrical services. These CoPs represent a significant step in advancing maternal health outcomes by requiring maternal quality assessment and performance improvement programs, setting baseline standards for the organization, staffing, and delivery of obstetrical care, and mandating staff training in evidence-based maternal health practices.
By establishing a consistent standard of high-quality maternity care for all Medicaid participating facilities, the CoPs complement the TMaH Model’s pillars of quality improvement and safety, as well as whole-person care. Together, these initiatives are intended to produce a unified framework for reducing maternal morbidity and mortality, addressing health disparities, and fostering equitable, patient-centered care across participating states.
Key Considerations
The new TMaH Model provides participating state Medicaid agencies (SMA) with an opportunity to accelerate their efforts to improve maternal health outcomes for a large percentage of their maternal population. State TMaH planning initiatives will need to consider the model requirements and include:
Strengthening partnerships. The model provides states with an opportunity to strengthen collaboration with and build capacity among key partners, including Perinatal Quality Collaboratives, hospitals, birth centers, healthcare centers and rural health clinics, maternity care providers, and CBOs, to successfully implement the model. Specifically, states can work with providers to use provider infrastructure payments to support their engagement with CBOs that can address the HRSNs and behavioral health needs of beneficiaries and integrate them into screening, referral, and follow-up activities.
Defining the role for managed care organizations (MCOs). Agencies will need to work with MCOs and stakeholder groups to support the model. SMAs may designate some of their Cooperative Agreement funding to MCOs to support infrastructure and capacity building for the TMaH Model.
Integrating TMaH with existing and other planned initiatives. Optimizing the TMaH Model requires states and their partners to consider how the framework complements and may be incorporated into other state initiatives. Specifically, the TMaH Model will require reporting on screening for three domains of HRSNs: food insecurity, housing instability, and transportation. The TMaH Model will require use of a validated health IT-encoded HRSN screening instrument, such as the Accountable Health Communities HRSN screening tool. States and their partners can integrate existing HRSN tools and Medicaid section 1115 demonstration initiatives with efforts carried out using the TMaH Model.
Connect With Us
Join Health Management Associates (HMA) experts Michelle Hurst, Marilyn Johnson, and Zipatly V. Mendoza for the Improving Maternal Health Outcomes: Navigating CMS Guidance for Better Care webinar on January 28, 2025. They will dive deeper into recent CMS regulations and other federal developments that affect maternal health, actionable strategies to implement regulations, and approaches to reduce maternal health disparities and ensure equitable care.
Through a new collaboration with Stanford University’s Emergence Program, HMA’s Strategy & Transformation practice aims to foster innovation in Medicaid and public healthcare. This collaboration seeks to support a new generation of public health innovators, focusing on transformative approaches to healthcare payment, policy, and delivery.
Kyle Murphy and R.J. Briscione presenting.
Kyle Murphy and R.J. Briscione of HMA’s Strategy & Transformation Practice will mentor early-stage companies, deliver guest lectures on the U.S. public healthcare system, and co-develop thought leadership pieces with Stanford faculty and students at Stanford Emergence Program.
This multi-faceted collaboration is designed to provide real-world insights to aspiring healthcare entrepreneurs aiming to improve public health outcomes and equity.
Prof. Narges Baniasadi, who is the founder and executive director of Emergence program says: “We are excited about our growing collaboration with HMA team to catalyze the translation of academic research to impactful innovations for public health and to educate budding entrepreneurs on ways they can scale their impact through working with the public sector.”
Dr. Narges Baniasadi oversees this new initiative that strives to 1) catalyze impact entrepreneurship to address systemic challenges in the health of our society and planet and 2) shift the culture of the innovation ecosystem to be more mission-driven and inclusive. At the core of Emergence is its mission to inspire, educate, and support the next generation of innovators to improve societal and planetary health through impact entrepreneurship.
Early in January, HMA’s Strategy & Transformation Practice will also participate in the Stanford Mussallem Center for Biodesign’s implementation bootcamp for its 2024-25 cohort of Innovation Fellows. Murphy and Briscione will focus on expanding the Innovation Fellows’ understanding of Medicaid and assessing its viability as a go-to-market strategy for innovative solutions. Since 2001, Stanford Biodesign has educated and empowered aspiring and experienced innovators interested in improving healthcare with technology innovation through fellowships, graduate and undergraduate courses, faculty training, and executive education.
To date, the center has trained 219 Innovation Fellows through a 10-month program where they learn to identify and screen important unmet health needs, invent technology-based solutions to address the most promising ones (including medical devices, diagnostics, digital health, drug delivery, and biotechnology solutions), and prepare to implement them into patient care. The Strategy & Transformation Practice brings valuable experience to this collaboration, having previously worked with companies that have emerged from Biodesign trainee projects.
This collaboration elevates HMA’s position within the innovation ecosystem and prepares founders to build and scale products designed for Medicaid populations. By bridging the gap between evidence-based research and practical implementation, this effort has the potential to drive changes in public healthcare policy and delivery, generate the development of cost-effective healthcare solutions, and improve healthcare access for vulnerable populations. As HMA continues to lead in healthcare consulting,supporting the Emergence Program and Stanford Biodesign reinforces its commitment to fostering innovation and improving public health outcomes across the country.
The information presented in this webinar is based on market knowledge and guidance prior to the new Trump administration; due to the rapidly evolving healthcare and policy landscape, these issues are likely to change moving forward.
Maternal health is at a critical turning point, and healthcare professionals are seeking innovative solutions to improve outcomes, reduce disparities, and ensure equitable access to care. This webinar highlighted the latest CMS policies and guidance designed to address maternal mortality, expand access to high-quality care, and advance health equity for diverse populations. This session is ideal for hospital and critical access administrators, healthcare professionals, and policymakers dedicated to advancing maternal health and achieving better outcomes.
Learning Objectives:
Gain a clear understanding of the latest CMS regulations, policies, and quality measures related to maternal health outcomes.
Discover actionable strategies and best practices for implementing CMS guidance to improve care delivery and patient outcomes.
Explore approaches to reduce disparities in maternal health, ensuring equitable care for underserved populations.
